US Pulls Out of Iran Nuclear Deal

It was a long time coming. In all fairness, President Donald Trump did warn us before today.

But we didn’t think he was actually going to do it. Not really.

But it did happen. And when it did, all people could think about was if Iran would start making Nuclear weapons again, violating the very purpose of forming the JCPOA, or Joint Comprehensive Plan Of Action.

The US President announced that he would, in time, work on another deal concerning Iran’s uranium enrichment policy, something which the JCPOA covered in all manners and forms. He said that Iran would come to the US for another deal.

But the withdrawal is wrong on so many levels.

For one, the USA finds itself isolated on many issues like the Paris Accords, the trilateral trade treaty between Mexico, USA, and Canada, and now the Iranian Nuclear Deal. The Nuclear deal was signed in 2015, when America’s allies joined it to limit the prospects of a Iranian Nuclear program. The US was obviously the most important player in the deal.

And now its withdrawal from the deal will expose it’s policies like a nerve to the rest of the world- on this issue, America’s allies have a different policy. This will prompt some irritation at best.

For another, it is possible that Iran may not want another deal with USA. In that scenario, USA would have to assess its options very carefully. Will it feel comfortable if this deal remains? Moreover, will it be comfortable with the idea that is not a part of a deal which directly restricts the capabilities of its rival? We already know the answer to that, but it prompts another question.

What are the options of the United States of America?

It has restricted itself to only a few options- those of a regime change (which would be disastrous), that of another deal (which is not likely) and that of reverting back to good old sanctions, which the EU and the rest of its allies may not even impose on their part.

None of these options are likely to benefit the US. Oil prices are bound to rise, which would make everyone very unhappy. It’s relationship with its allies may turn a bit bitter. Of course, there’s also the concern about the deal falling out if Iran decides to pull out of the agreement.

This route of not engaging in negotiations and dialogue may not pay off. There is no way that Iran will want another more restrictive deal. The USA is not happy with the current deal.

The most plausible (and better) situation for the deal is that JCPOA will continue without the USA.

The more worrying trend though, is that USA has not honoured its agreements. There is going to be instability if there is a change in government. But international dynamics are such that even a small upset could tip the balance into a haywire situation in which no one knows what’s going to happen next. This is naturally going to do more harm than good to the whole world. Screen Shot 2018-05-09 at 4.35.58 PM

 

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Sean Spicer And His Spicy Six Months In The White House

 

And it is official, ladies and gentlemen. Sean Spicer has resigned.

Kudos to those who called it, and surprise for those who woke up in the morning to find that the White House Press Secretary resigned.

Sean Spicer, who found himself in a lot of news for the past six months, finally decided to resign when Donald Trump decided to make Anthony Scaramucci the White House Communications Director.

Sean Spicer had argued against the decision several times, according to leaks. However, instead of taking a step back and reconsidering his decision, Trump went forward and appointed Scaramucci as his communications director.

 

Long story short, Sean was not amused. So he resigned, bringing his spicy six months in the office to an end.

 

The foremost reason for his resignation in my opinion would be the fact he was not on the right page with the rest of the administration.

It has been exemplified by some events in the past.

The main reason Trump hired Sean Spicer on the advice of Reince Priebus, the Chief of Staff. Otherwise, Trump notes, he wouldn’t have even hired Spicer.

Spicer’s Six spicy months in the office have proven to take a toll on how the Trump administration has been perceived by the general public. After all, the Press Secretary is supposed to answer the media on behalf of the President.

He made insensitive remarks about the Holocaust, told a reporter to stop shaking her head, attacked the media for accurately reporting the inauguration crowd, wrongly used a PEW study to support Trump’s claim about non-citizen voting, said that the President called immigration action a ‘ban’ because of the media, and also used a salad dressing analogy to defend the White House.

And it were these remarks that drew laughs, tears of frustration, and certain ‘forehead smacking’ moments from the American public.

Each of the mentioned remarks by Spicer were completely ridiculous and nonsensical. Each of them refused to take proven historical facts, statistics, and raw data into account. Each of those statements ignored everything wrong with the Trump administration and attacked the media on the role they were supposed to play in the first place.

It’s not Trump, however, who has to breathe a sigh of relief as this only complicates the situation further.

Sean Spicer has distanced himself from the sinking administration. Now, Trump must try to convince the public that the members of the White House are on the right page (which, by Spicer’s resignation, has been proven false). And since Scaramucci and Preibus aren’t exactly best buddies, this situation has only just started. It shows signs of getting worse. Since Trump has taken charge, there have been eight instances where it is obvious that his own people disagree sometimes with the President, or have resigned or been fired.

The most notable example of such a discrepancy between members is that of the firing of Preet Bharara who had been promised his job by the President. The other 46 attorneys had quietly resigned.

Previously, Sally Yates had been fired by Trump for not supporting Trump on his travel ban, and she had also drawn much attention to the confused then NSA, Michael Flynn.

And now, Sean Spicer.

This is just proof that the Trump administration is confused. Rather than making laws and ensuring welfare, they seem to be protecting themselves in this plethora of controversies.

Well, at least Sean Spicer didn’t stick around in this sinking ship.

 

 

 

Comey VS Trump: A Non-American Student’s Perspective

If you’re a Political Science fanatic like moi, you would know that June 8th was no ordinary day.

It was perhaps THE most important day in the history of modern day politics of the United States. Maybe it was because Donald Trump didn’t even grace the American Public with the tweets they have come to love, or maybe it was the fact that fired FBI Director James Comey’s statements have pushed the American People to lose confidence in their President (not that there was much confidence in the first place), but the Trump scandal is finally coming to light.

After all the statements made by Comey, and after receiving no response from Donald Trump on twitter, one thing can be inferred: Donald Trump is certainly going to be one of the most infamous Presidents.

Comey VS Trump has totally changed the dynamics of present day politics in America. For one, Comey apparently has nothing to lose (he already lost his JOB), and in the eyes of the public, that makes him a very very reliable source of information, because he is no longer bounded by the rules of being a Director of the FBI. Sure, in this situation, Comey will get back his reputation, but it doesn’t make sense that he would lie to the general public to do so.

Second, according to James Comey, he has considerable proof against Jeff Sessions as he spoke in his hearing, but cannot reveal them in a public session. That puts Jeff Sessions in a very tricky spot, because of the reports of him going to a THIRD meeting with Russian ambassador to the United States Sergey Kislyak during Trump’s election campaign.

On March 2, Sessions had recused himself from the investigation relating to Russia’s involvement into the campaign which had potentially changed results.

Here is what Comey said: (I’ve highlighted the important)

“Our judgment as I recall was that he was very close to, and inevitably going to, recuse himself for a variety of reasons. We also were aware of facts that I can’t discuss in an open setting, that would make his continued engagement in a Russia-related investigation problematic. And so we were – we were confronted and, in fact, I think we had already heard that the career people were recommending that he would recuse himself, that he was not going to be in contact with Russia-related matters much longer. That turned out to be the case.”

This clearly implies that there was some ulterior motive as to why Sessions had recused himself from the investigation, unlike the reason that he had provided to the public (He had involvement in the campaign and his staff advised him to recuse himself of the investigation).

Third, Donald Trump just implied on twitter, weeks ago, that there are tapes. James Comey, whose only defence is his memo, is daring-BEGGING- the President to publish those conversations about him telling to drop the Flynn Investigation and to ‘let it go because Flynn is a good guy.’

A conversation between the President and the Director of the FBI would be really inappropriate (according to Comey) and would also put the FBI at the mercy of the President who didn’t want an investigation to open up which potentially dealt with whether he was directly involved with the Russians when they interfered with the election in USA.

It all rests upon how the closed hearing is going to go. Either Trump is going to be found guilty of Obstruction to justice, or he will walk away from this, having won a legal battle, but not a moral one.

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